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Picks for 6/14/09: Marlins Play Better on the Road

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Result: 0.00 units

Toronto Blue Jays (-117) over Florida Marlins (1.0 Units) -

The Marlins play better on the road than they do at home but for them to sweep the Blue Jays would be completely unexpected.

Home interleague favorites looking to avoid a 3-game sweep are 60-28, +22 units.. undervalued by an average of 24.5 points. This is over the prior 10 years including a perfect 3-0 this year.

Favorites are defined as the team that has the most likely chance of winning. And you could say that if those teams are fighting to avoid a sweep, they'd have the concentration necessary to pull it off. And the fact that this is an interleague game, we would not expect the highest of attentiveness from the Marlins.

Take this game action regardless of pitcher.

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Atlanta Braves (-116) over Baltimore Orioles (1.5 Units) -

Of the four starters that have started the most games for the Braves, Lowe is the only pitcher that the Braves have been able to win money with. And that should come in handy today in the third and final game of this series. This series is tied 1-1 and the winner today wins the series. In such a situation, I'd like to take the better pitcher so long as the odds weren't inflated. And that's what we got when we bet on Lowe today. The fact that this game is being held in Baltimore is the reason the odds are kept a bit honest here.

The Braves haven't been playing well lately but neither have the Orioles (2-8L10, averaging just 2.6 runs a game in that span).

Take this game action on Lowe pitching for the Braves.