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Picks for 5/13/09: Marlins At About 500 Overall This Season
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Rivalry Page: Brewers vs Marlins
Result: +1.00 units
Milwaukee Brewers (-127) over Florida Marlins (1.0 Units) - The Marlins are at about 500 overall this season and are 2 games above 500 on the road but they are really struggling lately. On the season, they are averaging 4.6 runs a game but in the last 10 games are averaging 3.2 runs a game. They are 3-7L10 during that span.
On the flip side, the Brewers are really on a roll right now. They are 7-3L10, and are averaging 6.3 runs a game L10 while are averaging 5.0 runs a game on the season.
So with this in mind, we get the home favorite at a nice spread here.
Most advantageous to us is the fact that the Marlins are averaging 0.6 runs a game less against righties than they are against lefties. Also, teams facing a lefty after having faced a righty score fewer runs per game than if they had faced two righties in succession. With them going up against Looper, a righty, we don't expect the Marlins to really reverse the downward spiral that they are in. Not after losing game 1, not after having faced a lefty in game 1, and not with how weak their offense has been going.
