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Picks for 5/27/09: Betting Against Most Conventional Systems

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Rivalry Page: Blue Jays vs Orioles

Rivalry Page: Dodgers vs Rockies

Result: -0.85 units

Toronto Blue Jays (-160) over Baltimore Orioles (1.5 Units) -

Not only do the Blue Jays want to win today and avoid being swept but they want to save face on this entire road trip. They are on the verge of going 0-9 on this road trip. They were leading the division at one point too.

Although we don't like going against home dogs in divisional rivalry games, we feel that the sense of urgency here with the Blue Jays AND the fact that they have their ace on the mound makes this a pick where we go against most conventional systems.

In fact, divisional rival dogs looking to get a sweep actually do not fare so well.

Take this game action on Halladay pitching of course.

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Los Angeles Dodgers (112) over Colorado Rockies (1.0 Units) -

The Rockies may be fighting to avoid a sweep today but they have to do it with Jimenez on the mound. And Jimenez does not fare well against the Dodgers. He's given up 13 earned runs in 8.1 innings against them this season. He has a 7.07 ERA against them in 8 career starts.

With that said, we've got to go with the momentum here with the underdog Dodgers.


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Updated: 10/13/11

NEW: Pitcher Home/Road Disparities

Bold indicates team falls into that angle today.

Overall
Diamondbacks 94-68 +27.70
Brewers 96-66 +20.77
Tigers 95-67 +19.91
Phillies 102-60 +14.30
Rangers 96-66 +13.34
Full Table >>
Home
Brewers 57-24 +25.23
Diamondbacks 51-30 +13.96
Rangers 52-29 +7.69
Tigers 50-31 +7.61
Yankees 52-29 +7.38
Full Table >>
Road
Mets 43-38 +17.61
Diamondbacks 43-38 +13.74
Tigers 45-36 +12.30
Cardinals 45-36 +10.67
White Sox 43-38 +10.61
Full Table >>
vs Righty
Diamondbacks 70-44 +29.54
Brewers 78-48 +23.42
Rangers 70-45 +13.60
Tigers 65-47 +12.66
Cardinals 71-52 +8.41
Full Table >>
vs Lefty
D'rays 31-19 +14.26
Yankees 34-17 +12.92
Phillies 30-13 +9.49
Tigers 30-20 +7.25
Giants 26-18 +6.32
Full Table >>

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