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Picks for 9/20/11: Giants On a Roll As Dog

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Rivalry Page: Giants vs Dodgers

Rivalry Page: Pirates vs Diamondbacks

Result: +1.24 units

On a pretty good roll as we are ending off the season.

Giants [114] versus Dodgers (1.0 Units) - The Giants are 8-2L10 and 3.5 games back in the wild card. Sure the Dodgers want to play spoiler but I think the Giants are going to be value so long as they are a dog today.

Pirates [224] versus Diamondbacks (1.0 Units) - The Diamondbacks had a lot of good angles suggesting they'd win yesterday but they also had a few factors going against them.. For example they were traveling and a poor team in the first game of a series. They had an unimpressive game, so we feel okay to bet against them as a slumping team. They got the win but hey an ACE pitcher does not have to worry about the problems of traveling or what not. He has five games to prepare... The Pirates are struggling a bit offensively but we like them in a bounceback revenge game being +224 coming off a 1-0 loss. Underdogs of more than 175 are 22-31, +17 units back the past 13 seasons if they were a dog of more than 200 in their prior game and lost by being shutout.. Has to be be playing same team as game before. This means the team plays above and beyond what they should be. So factor that with the Dbacks struggling offensively as of late 1.8 runs a game L5, it is a value play. Also, blindly betting on an underdog against a team averaging less than 2 runs a game L5 is a winner on value, +63 units past 7 full seasons.

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Free Football Picks

Updated: 10/13/11

NEW: Pitcher Home/Road Disparities

Bold indicates team falls into that angle today.

Overall
Diamondbacks 94-68 +27.70
Brewers 96-66 +20.77
Tigers 95-67 +19.91
Phillies 102-60 +14.30
Rangers 96-66 +13.34
Full Table >>
Home
Brewers 57-24 +25.23
Diamondbacks 51-30 +13.96
Rangers 52-29 +7.69
Tigers 50-31 +7.61
Yankees 52-29 +7.38
Full Table >>
Road
Mets 43-38 +17.61
Diamondbacks 43-38 +13.74
Tigers 45-36 +12.30
Cardinals 45-36 +10.67
White Sox 43-38 +10.61
Full Table >>
vs Righty
Diamondbacks 70-44 +29.54
Brewers 78-48 +23.42
Rangers 70-45 +13.60
Tigers 65-47 +12.66
Cardinals 71-52 +8.41
Full Table >>
vs Lefty
D'rays 31-19 +14.26
Yankees 34-17 +12.92
Phillies 30-13 +9.49
Tigers 30-20 +7.25
Giants 26-18 +6.32
Full Table >>

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